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April 04, 2007
Merci d'avance de votre soutien

Any French citizen having reached the age of 23 and having satisfied the requirements of French law concerning military service [is eligible for the presidency of the Republic].

A person wishing to become a candidate must be sponsored by 500 elected officials* from at least 30 different departments or overseas territories, no more than one-tenth of them elected within a single department or overseas territory. The list of these sponsors (names and qualifications) is published by the Constitutional Council. No candidature is acceptable without these "500 signatures."

6 QUESTIONS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT
Statutory eligibility for the French presidency
PALAIS DE L'ÉLYSÉE

* Press reports refer to the signatures of "500 mayors". There are 36,782 communes or incorporated municipalities (there is no unincorporated land in the whole of France) each with its mayor. So signatures from less than 1.5% of the mayoral ranks is enough to become a presidential candidate eligible for state campaign funds and equal access to the media.

The French presidential season is in full swing. And France is fielding another impressive mess of candidates. This is the first French presidential race that Pave has followed, and we are still trying to catch the peculiar rhythms of French presidential politicking. Pave has only reported on a handful of candidates (here, here, here, here, and here for examples), but there are twelve certified candidates running (down from a crushing 40-odd aspirants). The field breaks down roughly into five candidates on the right and seven on the left. French political parties delight in endless Zeno-like divisions of winning constituencies.

France with her manifold party system, elects the president in "twice past the post" balloting. In the first round all certified candidates from all parties have a go. If no single candidate receives a majority there is a second round between the top two candidates. So candidates with little national support and single issue platforms have a shot at becoming one of two choices for president, as happened in 2002 when the fractious socialist opposition was denied its presumed second-round slot by Jean-Marie Le Pen.

Below are the current standings of the certified candidates.

QUESTION: WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR
IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
?

March 31, 2007 (Angus Reid)

03. 27.07

03.20.07

03.13.07

Nicolas Sarkozy

28%

31%

29%

Ségolène Royal

27%

24%

23%

François Bayrou

20%

17%

21%

Jean-Marie Le Pen

12%

13%

13%

Olivier Besancenot

4.5%

4%

3%

Arlette Laguiller

3%

2%

2%

Marie-George Buffet

2%

4%

3%

Philippe de Villiers

1%

1%

2%

José Bové

1%

2%

2%

Dominique Voynet

1%

1%

1%

Gérard Schivardi

0.5%

0.5%

0.5%

Frédéric Nihous

--

0.5%

0.5%

Source: BVA / Orange
Methodology: Interviews with 958 registered French voters, conducted on Mar. 26 and Mar. 27, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

So who are these folk? Below is Pave's crib sheet on the candidates.

On The Right:

  • Frédéric Nihous, 39
    (né le 15 août 1967 à Valenciennes)
    Party: Chasse - Pêche - Nature - Traditions (CPNT, Hunting-Fishing-Nature-Traditions); La ruralité d'abord
    M. Nihous is a lawyer by training and has done a stint as an EU parliamentarian (1999 to 2002). As best we can make out M. Nihous wants more hunting, fishing, and nature in a more static France. CPNT is a bleak party, looking fondly to the 19th century for its notions of a desirable traditional France. Yet M. Nihous has found room to support the French traditions of abortion, homosexual adoption, and laïcité (the French social doctrine regulating religion). M. Nihous would like to be reincarnated as a duck. (« Si je pouvais me réincarner, ce serait en canard. »)
    (Présidentielles 2007 profile.)

On The Left:

  • Arlette Laguiller, 66 = Six is a charm
    (née le 18 mars 1940 à Paris)
    Party: Lutte Ouvrière (LO); Qui d'autre peut se dire sincèrement dans le camp des travailleurs ?
    Five-time presidential loser, Mlle. Laguiller will call it quits if she does not ascend to the Élysée this go-around. She is running on the what-would-Leon-Trotsky-do? platform, scil., world revolution and worker's victories without end.
    (Présidentielles 2007 profile.)
  • Gérard Schivardi, 56
    (né le 17 avril 1950 à Narbonne)
    Party: Parti des Travailleurs (PT); Rupture avec Maastricht et l'Union europeenne / Pour la défense des services publics, Pour la défense de la laïcité, Pour la défense des 36 000 communes
    M. Schivardi is a master mason and the mayor of Mailhac. He had taken to styling himself as le candidat des maires before being slapped down by the Association des maires de France, which took exception to the characterization. He wants out of the EU arguing that the French know best how to screw up France. Yet another Communist, another Trotskyite, M. Schivardi will perch his government on the barricades, hang the capitalists (in a humane manner), and nationalize the economy.
    (Wikipedia profile.)
  • Dominique Voynet, 48
    (née le 4 novembre 1958 à Montbéliard, Doubs)
    Party: Les Verts; Le contract écolo, l'écologie au coeurs de nos vies
    Presidential two-timer Mme. Voynet's day job is senatrice of Seine-Saint-Denis. If elected she will make France more earth-friendly with underperforming energy technologies and a standard of living on par with Bangladesh.
    (Telegraph profile.)

PFFT (What is this?): What a crew! 3 | Rayonnement français 0

posted by Damian at 07:00 PM
Comments

The poll numbers for [the great spoiler] Jean-Maire are too low by 5 points. Many people will not admit to liking/preferring/voting for J-M.

Posted by: Dave Barnes on April 4, 2007 08:25 PM

Now which one if elected would be the quickest to islamify france?

Posted by: DrWright on April 4, 2007 10:37 PM

Mr. Barnes,

We hope to post soon on how the French polls use M. Le Pen to arrive at their candidate numbers.

Dr. Wright,

None of the candidates would actively islamify France. The islamification of France does not hang so much on policies as it does on inaction. French governments prefer doing nothing to being responsible for an identifiable policy.

Contrary to the valentines reported in the press for years, France has never integrated her minorities. Her immigrant population is less and less assimilated with each passing generation -- the exact opposite of arriving immigrants' aspirations.

DGB

Posted by: Damian on April 5, 2007 04:30 AM

Contrary to the valentines reported in the press for years, France has never integrated her minorities

That would explain why France, by far, has always been the largest European melting pot. 1930's France had proportionally more foreign population than the United States. It is recent waves of immigration that are causing concern. I find it highly ironic, Damian, that you should generalize about a legitimate issue that has been of a similar concern in many ways in the US, never mind 200 years of segregation or passing recent bills making English the official language.

Posted by: zoomerx on April 5, 2007 02:23 PM

Bonjour,

400 ans de présence afro-américaine aux USA !
Pas de 2% de mariages mixtes !
Voilà l'imposture du "melting-pot" que les Yanks vendent au Monde entier ....
-"Melting pot" ?
-Gated communities in fact !

Posted by: AntiYanks/AntiBrits on April 5, 2007 04:10 PM

Uh-oh, generalizing in a blog's comment thread. Well, we confess to lacking the time and resources for detailed scholarly responses such as M. Zmx provides.

No, we must content ourselves with simply responding to the question posed by Dr. Wright.

M. Zmx's idea of integration appears to be identical with French colonialism, which would explain that big old 1930s French melting pot. M. Zmx also seems to think that during 200 years of bad old American segregation that France was the same open and loving society he believes it to be today. Never mind 400 years of colonialism. Never mind the French slave trade. Never mind 57 years of shafting colonial comrades-in-arms. Never mind Metropolitan racial massacres. Never mind all these evidences of racial comity -- because whatever the charms and allure of 1930s France et al., contemporary France is today host to a growing disaffected and unassimilated immigrant population. And no fabulous reach-back in American history will obscure or change that.

It is laughable that M. Zmx thinks to chide Idaho for making English its official language when French is the official language for the whole of France. M. Zmx's own president cannot bear to be in the same room with a Frenchman speaking English.

Whatever could be the point? Oh, none really. Just another detailed scholarly response by M. Zmx.

DGB

Posted by: Damian on April 5, 2007 05:53 PM

If Damian really knew what he was talking about, he would know that Spanish, Portuguese, Italian, Polish family names and others (mine is Dutch) are not uncommon at all in French society. Don't feel so guilty Damian, I only mentioned segregation, not slavery.

It is laughable that M. Zmx thinks to chide Idaho for making English its official language when French is the official language for the whole of France. M. Zmx's own president cannot bear to be in the same room with a Frenchman speaking English.

And why would Idaho make English "official", Damian? Apparently ,a href= "http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17889756/" >Mr Gingrich also seem to see there is a problem, as he says so eloquently.

As for Chirac's stupidity, we all remember Mr Bush in Paris afew years ago, fuming at a French reporter addressing Chirac in French, of all languages. At least Chirac can put two sentences together coherently, even in English.

Posted by: zoomerx on April 5, 2007 11:23 PM

Apparently M. Zmx is unaware of the difference between the protocols of press courtesies toward visiting dignitaries and his president's responsibilities in representing the Republic. Mr. Bush stood his ground while Jack absented not just himself but the whole French delegation from an EU symposium.

The canard that Mr. Bush cannot put two sentences together is the usual brainless comfort his detractors take in their own supposed superiority. The one thing we can be sure of about Jack, is if he puts two coherent sentences together, he will have told you two different lies. The tragedy for France is the great abundance of sentences that Jack delights in putting together.

Though M. Zmx brings up Mr. Gingrich, France managed to institute an official language long before he could have advised her. If M. Zmx knew anything of his own country's history, he would know that as recently as 1794 French was the native tongue of only 12% of France. Republican revolutionaries sought far stronger measures than Idaho's to enforce its practice (see Abbé Grégoire"s quaintly titled Sur la nécessité et les moyens d'anéantir les patois et d'universaliser l'usage de la langue française (Report on the necessity and means to annihilate the patois and to universalise the use of the French language). Fast forward 200 years and France institutes the Toubon Law, much of the original ruled unconstitutional -- for the French too have limits. So again what is M. Zmx's point? He disapproves of Idaho's mild and local remedy so we may assume he lives in agony under French law.

M. Zmx does a reach-back in American history on segregation, using this to counterpoint the placid racial comity of France. We cite several instances of French racism and racial abuse and M. Zmx comes back to tell us, well, his surname is Dutch. Whatever is his point?

Nowhere have we contested that France is ethnically diverse. Just the opposite, as it speaks to our point of France's current ethnic woes.

One does not so much argue a point with M. Zmx as one explores the mysterious fractured concatenation of his detailed and scholarly presentations.

DGB

Posted by: Damian on April 6, 2007 04:03 AM
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